Saturday, February 14, 2026 woke up calm in Jacksonville, with a crisp 53°F and a light northeast breeze. Sunshine is expected to lift afternoon highs into the low 70s under mostly clear skies, a pretty friendly setup for outdoor plans. If you have anything you really want to get done outside, today is your relatively quiet window before the weather turns more troublesome tomorrow.
Sunday Storm Threat
Tomorrow, February 15 is set to be the warmest of the short-term stretch, with highs close to 80°F ahead of a fast-moving front. Rain showers are likely to move in by early afternoon, with the best chance for thunderstorms, around 70%, between roughly 1 and 4 p.m., followed by scattered storms lingering into the evening.
Southerly winds of 7 to 18 mph are expected, with gusts near 29 mph. Forecasters warn that a developing squall line could kick out pockets of damaging wind and possibly an isolated tornado. The Storm Prediction Center has flagged the region for an elevated risk of thunderstorms.
Marine And Beach Impacts
Conditions offshore are expected to turn rough from tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. A Small Craft Advisory is likely for local coastal waters, and area beaches will face a moderate rip current risk through Sunday as onshore flow builds. Boaters in small vessels should sit out the advisory window, and swimmers are urged to stay near lifeguards and follow posted beach flags. Check the latest details from the NWS Jacksonville for specific advisory times and zones.
Rain, Drought And Fire Risk
The system is expected to produce around an inch of rain in parts of the region, enough to give at least some relief to soils dealing with expanding drought. At the same time, lightning from stronger storms could ignite new fires where grasses and brush are still very dry. With inland wildfire danger elevated, treat any lightning, smoke or downed power lines as a serious threat until a more widespread soaking rain arrives.
What To Do
When possible, shift outdoor plans to Saturday or build in indoor alternatives for tomorrow afternoon and evening. Ahead of the stronger winds, secure patio furniture, trash cans and other loose items that might take flight. If you were eyeing a small-boat run or a full beach day tomorrow, check marine and beach advisories and think about pushing those plans to Monday, when seas and surf are expected to settle down.
Week Ahead
The front is forecast to clear the area tomorrow night, ushering in drier, cooler air on Monday, with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s and lows in the 40s to 50s. By midweek, temperatures bounce back under mostly sunny skies, with highs returning to the upper 70s and low 80s Wednesday and Thursday.
