Residents in the Cleveland area can expect some meteorological relief as the recent upper-level trough begins to exit stage east today, with the National Weather Service (NWS) Cleveland forecasting a stretch of dryer and increasingly warmer conditions for the region. Emphasizing a smooth transition, the NWS states, "surface high pressure to build into the region for the next few days," providing a brief respite before the next weather system makes its arrival by Friday.
For those dotted across eastern Erie and Crawford counties in Pennsylvania, isolated showers may linger like uninvited guests at a clearing party, otherwise, it's set to be a mostly dry day for the majority. Late afternoon and evening could see some drama in the form of a few showers and a potential thunderstorm in northwest Ohio as a shortwave trots eastward, outlined in the NWS discussion, "there may be just enough lingering forcing aloft to support scattered showers...with only very isolated showers, so capped PoPs at slight chance." However, there are no expectations for a full-on watery onslaught tonight.
Heading into Tuesday, the forecast states there could be "at least a small chance of scattered showers and maybe isolated thunderstorms south of the lake breeze," as per NWS, most likely in the warmest slice of the afternoon. However, the NWS meteorologists have capped their predictions, still maintaining that "several CAMs maintain dry weather for most of the CWA." As for temperatures, don't pack away the summer wardrobe just yet. The mercury is predicted to flirt with the 80s by Tuesday.
The midweek forecast spells out a storyline of 'quiet and pleasantly cool', which is a welcome description for anyone who's been pining for an end to the recent peculiar weather. But, warmth isn't done with Ohio just yet. As reported by the NWS Cleveland's, "a large dome of surface high pressure will remain centered over the central Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Tuesday night and Wednesday," before it scoots over to New England, and the humidity levels alongside temperature begins to surge upward once again by Thursday night.
For anyone venturing out on Lake Erie, light winds and diminishing waves are on the cards as high pressure continues to boss the weather pattern early this week. Conditions are set to stay manageable for seafarers, with NWS advising "NW winds of 10-15 knots this morning will become variable in direction this afternoon through Tuesday." For the latter part of the week, however, the approach of a warm front might stir things up a bit again, so mariners should stay tuned to the forecasts to come.
The extended outlook calls for some potentially heavy rainfall as we move into the weekend, with a surface low over the Upper Midwest looking to slowly grind its way across the Lakes. The stage seems set for an unsettled few days from Friday into Sunday with precipitation a likely bet, especially as a cold front rendezvous with the region. But in true weather form, clarity will only come as we draw nearer in time.