Honolulu residents and visitors can anticipate a breath of stable, drier air as the National Weather Service forecasts a week of mostly dry trade wind weather. According to the National Weather Service Honolulu Weather Forecast, moderate to breezy trade winds will carry on through Wednesday, with the next significant chance for showers not expected until next weekend, when a weak wave might stir the calm.

Current observations suggest only isolated to scattered showers, especially during the night and early morning hours while the summits, like Mauna Kea on the Big Island, are staying just below wind advisory levels; this has led to the cancellation of previous advisories connected to high winds in those regions. The upper-level ridge maintaining this dry spell is firmly in place, capping vertical cloud development which often brings heavier rainfall, but looking ahead, around Saturday is when there may be some wetter changes as that slow-moving wave proceeds along the island chain.

For aviation interests, the National Weather Service warns of intensifying trade winds that may become locally breezy by the afternoon and persisting until mid-week, windward slopes and coasts are the favored spots for passing light showers, however, there's always the possibility for those showers to spill over into leeward areas during the night and morning. An AIRMET Sierra notice is in place for mountain obscuration along the northern and eastern slopes of all islands which should lift after sunrise, except over the Big Island where it could linger into the afternoon.

Marine conditions reflect a similar pattern; the surface ridge north of the islands has been nudged southward, keeping trade wind speeds a notch below seasonal averages, but will trend stronger through Monday leading to a Small Craft Advisory in effect for several waters around Maui and the Big Island. There's a bit of action offshore with both S and NNW swells impacting the coasts, East facing shores will see a slight uptick in surf size over the next days thanks to the trades and potential long-period swells from the East, high tides paired with predicted higher water levels are set to cause some minor coastal flooding, a concern highlighted in the Coastal Hazard Message from National Weather Service.

The National Weather Service has issued a Small Craft Advisory that is in effect until 6 PM HST Monday for select waters, including Maalaea Bay and the Big Island's windy and leeward waters; mariners should exercise caution and expect stronger trade winds to persist through at least Thursday.