Tampa woke up to a mild, mostly clear start today, with the area headed for a sunny afternoon and a high near 80°F. Light east-northeast winds around 5 to 8 mph will keep the bay fairly calm while temperatures climb through the day.
Sunny Stretch, Steady Warmup
Highs are expected to hover near 80°F today and Wednesday, then bump into the low-to-mid 80s on Thursday and Friday. Some inland neighborhoods could flirt with the upper 80s by Friday and Saturday, near record levels for this time of year. Humidity will slowly tick up as winds turn more southerly later in the week, so afternoons will feel noticeably warmer compared to the recent cold snap. According to the National Weather Service Tampa Bay, temperatures are projected to run roughly 5 to 10 degrees above normal heading into the weekend.
Foggy Starts, Bright Afternoons
Late-night and early-morning patchy fog is likely to return each night later this week, especially in low-lying spots and along the shoreline. The fog should lift quickly after sunrise, leaving behind mostly sunny afternoons. Our earlier coverage of thick fog and sky high afternoon warmups highlighted the same setup, so if you are driving before sunrise, stick with low beams and give yourself extra stopping distance.
Sunday Front Brings Sharp Cooldown
A strong cold front is expected to move through during the day on Sunday, February 22, 2026, bringing a slight chance of showers and isolated storms ahead of it. Behind the front, much cooler air should arrive Monday, February 23, with highs in the mid-60s and overnight lows in the 40s. Some inland locations could dip into the mid-to-upper 30s early Tuesday. Forecasters do not currently expect a major rainfall event with this system, but isolated downpours and gusty winds are possible along the boundary.
How To Plan Around The Weather
No watches or warnings are in effect right now, but boaters should secure loose gear before Sunday, and commuters should plan for brief fog-related delays before sunrise on several mornings. Keep a weather app handy if you have outdoor plans over the weekend, since conditions could shift quickly once the front arrives.
