The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a forecast indicating high temperatures in the low 90s today, which will precede the arrival of an incoming cold front, according to their early morning update. The front is expected to stall south of the area by Tuesday as high pressure builds from the north.
Residents in the west and near Lake Erie should prepare for heat indices creeping into the upper 90s, extending as far east as Cleveland. Furthermore, "Most areas will see highs in the low 90s today as the upper ridge continues to shift east," per a National Weather Service update. The upcoming weather system is also likely to bring about an active pattern throughout the week with mixed conditions, including thunderstorms.
The report further highlighted a potential for thunderstorms in Northwest Ohio later today due to an upper-level disturbance from the Upper Midwest, with the possibility of storms producing strong wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center has consequently marked areas from the I-75 corridor east to about Port Clinton with a marginal risk of severe weather, according to the weather service bulletin.
By Monday, the conditions are predicted to bring heavy rainfall and localized flooding, particularly in the afternoon. The airmass will be moist, with dewpoints at or above 70 degrees, and PW values are expected to exceed 2 inches, according to the NWS Cleveland statement. Trains of storms following similar paths may also pose additional flood risks due to the possibility of prolonged rain over the same areas. This comes as the stalled front will be influenced by another shortwave trough forecasted to push through the region on Monday.
The aviation outlook from the NWS Cleveland foresees predominantly VFR conditions into Sunday afternoon, with worsening weather conditions, including potential thunderstorms, as the day progresses. Winds remain elevated this morning, and surface temperature/dew point spreads remain significant. According to the NWS Cleveland discussion, fog development is unlikely this morning, indicating clear conditions for early flyers.
Marine conditions are set to remain largely stable through Thursday with only a low threat of severe weather, according to the marine forecast. South-to-southwest flow remains over the lake. It will increase to 10 to 15 knots this afternoon as a cold front approaches from the west, the NWS Cleveland marine update detailed. However, no major marine warnings have been issued for the period. Anglers and boaters should visit the NWS website for real-time updates and remain prepared for potential changes in weather conditions.
