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Staten Island Chuck and Punxsutawney Phil Predict Extended Winter as New Yorkers Brace for More Cold

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Published on February 02, 2026
Staten Island Chuck and Punxsutawney Phil Predict Extended Winter as New Yorkers Brace for More ColdSource: Wikipedia/King of Hearts, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

In the quaint tradition that pits rodent against meteorologist, Staten Island Chuck and Punxsutawney Phil both have declared that winter will keep its grip on us for another six weeks. In an event that New Yorkers might find bittersweet, the groundhog known as Staten Island Chuck made his prognostication from his home at the Staten Island Zoo. Confirming the chilly forecast, Chuck saw his shadow, according to a live stream provided by zoo staff for audiences kept at bay by adverse weather conditions, as CBS News reported.

It's noted by the Staten Island Zoo that, in terms of prediction accuracy, Chuck boasts an almost venerable 80% success rate. Meanwhile, in the small town of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, situated some 80 miles from Pittsburgh, Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow amidst the gaze of over 30,000 spectators, forecasting the same extension of winter's stay—marking this the 108th time he's predicted more winter since 1887. For those keeping score, that's 108 predictions of prolonged winter chill to a mere 21 for an early spring, with 10 years' records lost to the annals of time, ABC News detailed.

As New York Governor Kathy Hochul took to social media to weigh in on the Groundhog Day forecasts, she noted an outlier in the groundhog consensus—Dunkirk Dave predicts an early thaw. "New York's Groundhog Day predictions are in: Dunkirk Dave is forecasting an early spring, while Staten Island Chuck says winter isn't done yet. I'm going with Dave,” she shared. NOAA rates Dunkirk Dave, hailing from northwest New York, at No. 12 for accuracy out of 19 groundhogs, with a hit or miss record at 50%, as per CBS News.

Staten Island District Attorney Michael McMahon, observing the tradition, added a lighthearted note amidst the frigid forecast saying, "We'll get through this together.” Addressing those clinging to hopes of an early thaw, last year's Groundhog Day prediction from Chuck—who did not see his shadow—suggested an early spring, going against Phil's persistent prediction of prolonged winter. The NOAA, however, points to Phil's relatively lower accuracy, pegging him right about one-third of the time, CBS News mentioned.