Tampa is starting the day crystal clear, with temperatures hovering around 55°F at area stations and a warm-up into the upper 70s on tap this afternoon. Expect mostly sunny skies, a high near 78°F, and light south winds. Overnight, humidity will creep up and winds stay light, setting the stage for patchy fog early Friday. By Friday night into Saturday, a weak front will move in and bump up the chances for showers and a few thunderstorms.
Sunny Afternoon, Light South Winds
Sunshine should dominate through the afternoon, with gentle south winds around 3 to 9 mph keeping things mild and comfortable. Most of the city will see highs in the mid to upper 70s, with some inland spots nudging into the lower 80s.
Overnight Into Friday: Patchy Fog Possible
Patchy fog is possible early Friday morning, February 27, 2026, as dew points climb and winds remain light. Visibility could drop quickly on some surface streets and bridges, so the early commute may be a little dicey in spots. See our earlier update on foggy mornings and sunny afternoons for more on the morning fog setup.
Friday Night Into Saturday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
A weak front and subtropical trough will slide through late Friday into Saturday (February 27, 2026), increasing moisture and pushing a 50–60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, with the highest odds across interior neighborhoods. The National Weather Service Tampa Bay notes that instability should stay limited, so storms will likely be brief, though some downpours are possible. Rain should taper off Saturday night, with drier air returning Sunday and highs near 81°F.
What This Means For Your Weekend
Have a backup plan ready for any Saturday outdoor activities, just in case storms drift through during your plans. Allow extra time for the Friday morning drive if you are heading out early in fog-prone areas. Boaters should keep an eye out for sea fog late Thursday into early Friday and check local marine forecasts before heading out.
