
Tampa is cashing in on classic winter sunshine Tuesday, with blue skies, mid-70s warmth around 75–76°F, and a light southwest breeze making it tough to stay indoors. Those pleasant conditions should hold into the evening before skies turn partly cloudy overnight and temperatures drop to around 54°F. Outdoor plans are in good shape today, though forecasters say patchy late-night or early-morning fog becomes more likely as the week goes on.
This Week's Forecast
According to the National Weather Service in Tampa Bay, high pressure will keep things dry and seasonably mild through Wednesday, with highs holding in the mid-70s and light southwest winds sticking around. Forecasters say a weakening front could sneak in a slight chance of afternoon showers on Thursday, around a 20% shot after 1 p.m., before a stronger system lifts deeper moisture northward and boosts rain chances Sunday to roughly 50%. Overnight lows stay on the comfy side all week, generally in the mid-50s to upper-50s.
Weekend And Marine Outlook
On the water, marine conditions should stay fairly calm through most of the workweek. Forecasters are keeping an eye on the potential for sea fog over nearshore waters north of Tampa Bay as humidity increases later in the week, something boaters will want to watch if they are heading out early or late in the day. As the weekend front approaches, scattered to numerous showers could move in Sunday night and may crank up winds enough to trigger Small Craft Advisory conditions on the Gulf, so mariners should plan for a shift to rougher conditions. There are no watches or warnings in effect at this time.
Local Impacts
The mostly dry setup this week is great for walks, workouts, and backyard projects, but it is less friendly for local water supplies. New watering limits are already in effect across the Tampa Bay area as drought conditions deepen. Per Axios Tampa Bay, residents are now limited to once-a-week lawn watering, and local governments are enforcing schedules that can come with fines for violations. If you have outdoor plans lined up for Sunday, keep a backup rain plan and give the forecast a quick check before you head out.









