Raleigh-Durham

Raleigh Primary Shock Tightens At-Large Dogfight as Incumbents Hang On

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Published on March 04, 2026
Raleigh Primary Shock Tightens At-Large Dogfight as Incumbents Hang OnSource: Google Street View

Raleigh's crowded City Council field just got a lot smaller, and a lot more interesting. Voters on Tuesday whittled down a long list of hopefuls, setting up head-to-head showdowns for November. Early returns turned the citywide at-large contest into a nail-biter and turned District C into a straight two-way fight, as stronger-than-expected early ballots reshaped who will be on the ballot for the two at-large seats and the district seat later this year.

Early Surprise In At-Large And District C

Just after the polls closed, early tallies had Stormie Forte, Sana Siddiqui, Joshua Bradley and Clark Rinehart among the leading at-large contenders, while Corey Branch and Jared Ollison were out front in District C, according to The News & Observer. Those numbers came from results posted shortly after 9 p.m. and included in-person votes along with early ballots. Campaigns were quick to remind supporters that absentee and provisional ballots still had to be counted and could tighten or stretch the margins.

New Primary Rules Raise The Stakes

This year Raleigh moved to a nonpartisan primary, a change that sends the top four at-large finishers and the top two candidates in each district to the Nov. 3 general election, per the City of Raleigh. Council terms were reworked too. The at-large candidate with the highest vote total in November will serve a four-year term, while the runner-up will get a two-year term as part of a staggered transition. That tweak turned the at-large and district races into higher-stakes contests than usual, with candidates not just fighting to advance but eyeing very different time spans in office.

Heavy Early Turnout Shakes Up The Field

Wake County logged more than 68,000 early ballots, and Raleigh accounted for roughly 25,280 of those votes, according to unofficial early-return tracking by INDY Week. That surge in early voting appeared to reward campaigns that had built strong name recognition and ground games. Political watchers noted that the jump in early participation hints that the November general election could stay tight in any of the closer races.

Beyond At-Large: Other Races To Watch

Outside the at-large scramble, several one-on-one contests are setting up clear contrasts. In District A it is Mitchell Silver vs. Whitney Hill, in District D it is Jane Harrison vs. Jevon Smith-Cook, and in District E it is Christina Jones vs. Marc Scruggs, while Megan Patton is running unopposed in District B, as outlined by Axios Raleigh. Voters in those districts will be weighing candidates' approaches to some of Raleigh's most contentious issues: housing, zoning and transit. Neighborhood organizations, advocacy groups and developers are already gearing up for what look like lively general election battles.

One At-Large Incumbent Bows Out

Not everyone is trying to hang on to a City Council seat. At-large councilor Jonathan Lambert-Melton chose not to seek re-election and instead launched a run for one of the new at-large Wake County commission seats, according to Jonathan Lambert-Melton's campaign site. His decision opened up a citywide at-large spot and helped draw a wave of newcomers into the race. It also shifted the strategic map for local politicos, affecting who needed to organize a broad citywide push and who could focus on more targeted district turnout.

What Happens Next

For now, the numbers are still unofficial. Wake County election officials will canvass and certify results, then publish final totals that reflect any changes from absentee and provisional ballots in the days ahead, according to the City of Raleigh. If the current tallies hold, the four at-large frontrunners and the top two District C candidates will advance to the November ballot, with the general election set for Nov. 3. In other words, Tuesday's primary settled who is in the arena, but the real fight for control of Raleigh's council is just getting started.