New York City is starting off clear and brisk this morning, with Central Park reporting 33°F at 4:51 a.m. under bright skies. Temperatures should climb to a high near 49°F this afternoon, but a stiff breeze out of the southwest will make it feel cooler and will help set up a much stronger system late Sunday night into Monday.
Afternoon Winds Pick Up
Southwest winds will ramp up through the afternoon, with gusts reaching into the mid to upper 20s at times across exposed waterfronts and bridges. The breeze should ease tonight, then return stronger on Saturday as west winds gust as high as 35 to 40 mph along exposed shorelines. Anything lightweight on balconies or patios is a candidate to blow around, so secure loose outdoor furniture and be ready for sudden gusts in open areas.
Late Sunday Night Into Monday: Heavy Rain And Strong Winds
A deep low tracking up the coast will make Monday unseasonably warm and very wet, with rain, a chance of thunderstorms, and a daytime high near 63°F. The forecast discussion from the National Weather Service points to a 70 to 80 percent chance of at least an inch of rain, a 30 to 40 percent chance of more than 2 inches, and a 60 to 70 percent chance that 24 hour wind gusts will exceed 45 mph, mainly east of the city. That combination raises the risk for urban and coastal flooding, with coastal erosion and minor coastal flooding near high tide possible if the storm comes together as currently projected.
What To Expect For Your Commute
Rain is likely to move in late Sunday night, mainly after 2 a.m., and then intensify Monday afternoon. That timing could mean a wet and slow ride for both the Monday morning and evening commutes, with slick streets, reduced visibility, and potential delays on buses and ferries. Boaters should keep an eye on small craft and gale watches over the coastal waters, and anyone planning outdoor events on Monday should line up a solid backup plan. For background on how this week’s pattern is setting up, see NYC heats up Monday before wet wintry flip from Hoodline.
