Orlando is starting Veterans Day under a blanket of clouds and roughly 72 degrees, but the bigger weather story is waiting for Thursday night. Wednesday brings a warm high near 82 with partly sunny breaks, while scattered showers and storms may bubble up from afternoon into evening, especially south of the city. Most storms should stay scattered, but a few could produce gusty winds and hail.
The latest discussion from NWS Melbourne puts rain and storm chances around 30% to 40% across parts of Central Florida, with the greatest coverage south of Orlando toward the Treasure Coast. For Orlando proper, the practical takeaway is a warm holiday with a storm risk that is higher south of the city, rather than an all-day washout. If storms develop, the conditional hazards include wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph and hail around quarter-size.
Thursday Brings Clouds Before The Front
Thursday will stay mostly cloudy with a high near 79, and winds from the west-northwest could gust to 20 mph. A strong cold front is expected to pass through Central Florida Thursday night, pushing the wettest weather south and setting up a sharp temperature drop by Friday.
Weekend Chill Arrives Fast
Friday turns mostly sunny but breezy, with a high near 70 and northwest gusts up to 20 mph. Saturday morning could feel surprisingly cold for Central Florida, with Orlando-area temperatures falling into the upper 40s and a 10% to 15% chance of wind chills briefly reaching the upper 30s north of the city. Sunday rebounds to a sunnier 73 degrees.
That warm-to-cold swing is the sharper version of the forecast Hoodline previously reported, with the latest outlook adding a more defined storm concern for Wednesday and a stronger emphasis on the Thursday night front.
St. Johns River Flooding Remains A Separate Concern
Dryer weather around Orlando will not immediately erase ongoing flooding along the St. Johns River. The National Weather Service says flood warnings remain in effect at forecast points including Cocoa, Geneva, Sanford, DeLand and Astor, with levels expected to hold steady or slowly rise over the next several days.
Rain Chances Return Next Week
After the dry weekend, moisture begins returning Monday, when a slight chance of showers develops after 1 p.m. Rain chances rise to about 30% Monday night and Tuesday, while east-northeast winds could gust as high as 25 mph. For now, the forecast favors a warm Veterans Day, a stormier transition, and a distinctly jacket-worthy weekend.
