Residents in northern Ohio will need their umbrellas this weekend as a weather shift brings rain and cooler temperatures to the region. The National Weather Service Cleveland reports a weak cold front is on the move this morning and expected to stall over the area later today. This sets the stage for a low-pressure system to develop and track across northern Ohio on Sunday, leading to a rainy end to the weekend.
The National Weather Service advises that today will remain dry through the early evening but encourages residents to enjoy it. As the front stalls, clouds are set to increase, resulting in overcast skies by tonight. Rain showers are expected to kick in from west to east late this evening into Sunday morning alongside a few isolated rumbles of thunder, a story all too common for the folks north of Highway 30. These areas are set to receive the brunt of the rainfall with predicted averages between 0.50" and 1.50", while areas further south might see less than 0.50".
Early next week, temperatures are forecasted to drop even more. According to the NWS, by Monday morning, temperatures aloft could fall to near or below 0C, implying that some scattered lake-effect rain showers could appear. While precipitation is anticipated to be primarily rain, higher elevations in NW Pennsylvania could expect a few instances of wet snowflakes mixing in overnight Monday into Tuesday.
Aviators should brace for VFR conditions today and this evening but be prepared for potential non-VFR conditions as rain showers increase. The National Weather Service, in their aviation forecast, lays out winds are expected to be light, under 10 knots for the next day, with wind shifts likely as the frontal boundary sashays into the landscape. Those using the lake should be wary, too. As winds pick up to 15 to 25 knots starting Sunday evening into next week, the potential of waterspout formation exists through at least Tuesday over the chilly waters.
Come mid-week, an upper trough over the Great Lakes promises to keep those lake effect showers in play through at least Wednesday. After that, a rising ridge could signal drier conditions, with the forecast pointing toward a slow warming trend. By Friday, highs might return to the comfortable range of the 60s. So, while the week starts with a need for a coat, there could be a light at the end of that proverbially overcast sky.
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