According to the latest bulletin from National Weather Service - Honolulu Weather Forecast, the state finds itself under the influence of a weak upper level low, expected to bring enhanced showers to the region into the early part of this week. The system is forecasted to drift slowly northeastward today and tomorrow, creating more stable conditions and a typical trade wind weather pattern starting Tuesday, as per the National Weather Service.
What this means for the archipelago is mainly passing showers, predominantly favoring windward and mountain areas, which should persist throughout the next week. The subtropical ridge to the north remains moderate, due to cold fronts traveling across the Central Pacific, which will temper trade wind intensities. No thunderstorms were reported overnight, and none are projected for the day, making for a less eventful start to the week weather-wise. Trade wind speeds, are gearing up to be more on the moderate side and may continue into the upcoming weekend.
Navigating the skies above Hawaii will have pilots dealing with moderate to locally breezy trade winds but major flying disturbances like AIRMETs aren't a current concern, as reported by the National Weather Service. However, low clouds and shower (SHRA) conditions could lead to periods of marginally visual flight rules (MVFR) especially over windward and mauka locales.
On the nautical front, mariners are advised to take heed as a Small Craft Advisory is in effect till 6 PM HST this evening for the windy waters and channels near Maui and the Big Island, per the recent update by the National Weather Service. The advisory, issued due to near 25 KT winds detected along the Alenuihaha Channel, may see an extension depending on conditions.
A moderate north-northwest swell is hitting peak today at the Hanalei and Waimea buoys and while surf levels are set to remain below advisory thresholds, north facing shores will enjoy some action. A long-period south swell will keep the surf above average on southern shores but also, remains below advisory criteria. Choppier conditions can be expected on the east facing shores as trades are on the return starting today, as mentioned by the National Weather Service.
In summary, with the upper-level low moving out and trade winds coming back in full swing, stable weather is on the horizon for the Hawaiian Islands. For all you sailors and boaters, remember that the Small Craft Advisory stands till evening hours for specific coastal waters. So, stay informed and above all, stay safe as you enjoy the dynamic weather patterns Hawaii has on offer.
