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Tampa Braces for Afternoon Showers, Seasonal Weather Pattern Ahead

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Published on September 17, 2025
Tampa Braces for Afternoon Showers, Seasonal Weather Pattern AheadSource: Google Street View

The National Weather Service in Tampa, FL, has forecasted a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in Tampa, mainly after 2 pm today, with a high near 89 degrees and light east winds around 6 mph, according to their last update, there could be new rainfall amounts between a quarter and a half of an inch possible. Looking ahead into the evening, the chance of precipitation drops to 30 percent, with the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms lessening mainly before 9 pm, while temperatures are expected to stay around a low of 73 degrees with a similar east wind of 3 to 6 mph.

Residents looking toward the latter part of the week might find some reprieve from the rain, with Thursday and Friday having reduced chances for showers and thunderstorms, dropping to 30 percent and 20 percent respectively; on Thursday, amidst mostly sunny skies, Tampa is predicted to witness a high near 91 degrees, with east northeast wind at 5 to 7 mph and similarly on Friday, the city is poised to experience sunny skies with a slightly higher high around 92 degrees and northeast winds ranging from 6 to 9 mph. As the weekend approaches, the pattern appears consistent, with a 20 percent chance of showers and storms post 2 pm on Saturday and a mere 10 percent chance before 8 pm that night, with highs around 91 degrees and lows around 74 degrees.

Sunday's outlook suggests a return to a slightly higher chance of wet weather, with a 30 percent probability of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, but the days continue to be marked by mostly sunny conditions and a high temperature lingering near the lower 90s, while into the evening the chance of rain before 8 pm stands at 30 percent with a low of 75. The beginning of the next week doesn't stray far from this pattern, maintaining a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms both during the day and night on Monday, and continuing on Tuesday with similar precipitation probabilities, as reported by the NWS.

For those in Tampa navigating the ebb and flow of Florida's meteorological mood swings, it's a mostly typical forecast that features a humid 85 percent humidity and prevalent easterly winds, with visibility stretching out to 10 miles.

Tampa-Weather & Environment