Knoxville

Knoxville Braces for 100% Chance of Showers, Possible Severe Storms Today: NWS Outlook

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Published on November 25, 2025
Knoxville Braces for 100% Chance of Showers, Possible Severe Storms Today: NWS OutlookSource: Google Street View

The National Weather Service in Morristown, TN issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook early this morning for regions including southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee, and southwest Virginia. As the overcast skies loom at 52°F with a humidity hanging heavy at 100%, there's an anticipation of showers and a possibility of thunderstorms later in the day.

For residents in the Knoxville area, the forecast rings with certainty: showers are bound to come, with thunderstorms that could potentially follow after 1pm. Winds are expected to persist with a moderate sway from the southwest at 5 to 10 mph, gusts though, could aggressively pick up to around 25 mph. The chance to witness precipitation stands at a solid 100%, where rain volume could vary between a quarter and a half an inch. Residents should be prepared, notably advised to remain particularly vigilant during the afternoon hours as the potential for isolated severe weather activity increases. According to the National Weather Service's bulletin, "there is a low probability for a few strong to severe storms today" which includes a "conditional risk for a brief
tornado or two if enough destabilization is able to occur after the mornings precipitation."

The situation is set to evolve as the day transitions into night, with the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms peaking before 1am, then dissipating slightly with only a chance of showers between 1am and 4am. The mercury will hover near 53°F under the cover of mostly cloudy skies, while winds are expected to mildly quell at 5 to 10 mph.

Looking ahead beyond today's gusts and rain, the weather is anticipated to take a turn for the brighter. Wednesday forecasts suggest a shift toward clearer skies, a trend that seems to, just as easily, become sunny, tempered by a high near 60. The wind will continue to make its presence known from the west at 10 to 15 mph, with possible gusts reaching up to 20 mph. It is essential to bear in mind the wind as even after the precipitation has ceased, it could still potentially pose challenges, specifically for high-profile vehicles and temporary structures.

For those planning their Thanksgiving Day, they can expect the sun to return, offering reprieve with a peaceful high near 46 degrees. As the week unwinds and the busy holiday season intensifies, the NWS reassures that "widespread hazardous weather is not expected at this time." This outlook provides a slice of calm as we steer closer to the festivities and the inevitabilities of family gatherings where the only storms we might anticipate are those familiar quibbles over the dinner table.