Phoenix is waking up under mostly cloudy skies this morning (Wednesday, February 11), with temperatures in the low 60s and a high near 79°F on tap. Light winds and dry air mean it will feel warm this afternoon without the sticky humidity.
Forecast Through Early Next Week
Those clouds are expected to hang around through much of the week before giving way to more sunshine on Thursday, February 12, when highs again land near 79°F with light southeast winds. A Pacific trough moves in late in the week and brings the first real shot at measurable Valley showers on Friday, February 13. Forecasters are timing the best chance for rain from mid-morning through early evening, with valley PoPs around 30–40% and most locations seeing under a quarter inch of new rainfall. Model uncertainty is still in play, but the trend points toward better moisture for parts of central and eastern Arizona heading into the weekend, according to the National Weather Service.
Monday's System Could Be Stronger
After a brief dry spell over the weekend, another system may bring the strongest rain chances on Monday, February 16. Showers are looking likely, with south winds 5–10 mph and gusts up to around 20 mph in the Valley. The recent warm spell was detailed in Valley sizzles near 80, and the main shift now is that forecast models are leaning toward slightly higher moisture early next week.
Plan Ahead
No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for the Phoenix area, but timing and rainfall totals could change as these systems sharpen, so it is worth checking updated forecasts if you have outdoor plans. Be ready to move events indoors on Friday or Monday if showers materialize, and keep an eye on the National Weather Service for the latest updates and any changes to the outlook.
