Bay Area/ San Jose

San Jose Mayor Keeps Transit Tax Alive As He Warns Of BART ‘Death Spiral’

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Published on February 05, 2026
San Jose Mayor Keeps Transit Tax Alive As He Warns Of BART ‘Death Spiral’Source: Σ, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan says he pulled the lever to let a regional transit district move forward, but he is not promising he will support the Bay Area transit tax that could follow.

Mahan said he voted to enable the creation of a regional transit district so Bay Area voters could decide whether to place a transit funding measure on the November 2026 ballot. At the same time, he stressed he has not made a final decision on the measure itself and warned that agencies such as BART and San Francisco Muni could face abrupt service cuts that might trigger a “death spiral” for regional transit.

What Mahan's Vote Did

SB 63, the Connect Bay Area Act, established a mechanism to create a Public Transit Revenue Measure District and to authorize a 14-year regional sales tax if county voters approve, according to the Metropolitan Transportation Commission. The law gives the commission or citizen sponsors a way to put a single regional question in front of voters, while requiring participating counties to hammer out spending plans and “return-to-source” splits before any money is divvied up.

Mahan's Clarification and Online Reaction

In a post on X, Mahan said he “voted to enable the district to be created” so voters would have the option to consider a measure, and emphasized that he has not made a final decision. He also warned that BART and Muni, in particular, could face sudden service cuts that might set off a vicious cycle of reduced service and falling ridership. His full statement is posted on X.

Why Transit Leaders Say The Timeline Is Urgent

State officials have been scrambling to buy time while a longer-term funding plan is worked out. Gov. Gavin Newsom approved a $590 million loan that officials say will provide short-term relief while the region pursues a ballot measure, the San Francisco Chronicle reported. The paper noted regional projections that, if voters sign off, the sales tax could bring in roughly $980 million a year and that transit agencies are staring at combined deficits big enough that sudden cuts would be likely without a stopgap.

Local Politics And The VTA Role

Closer to home, the Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority has been debating whether to opt in to the regional plan, and Mahan has been a visible player in those talks as a VTA board member. San José Spotlight reports that the board has been cautious about committing too early and wants assurances that enough revenue would flow back to Santa Clara County priorities before fully backing any measure.

What Happens Next

If a regional measure makes the ballot and voters approve it in November 2026, officials say the law anticipates revenue starting to arrive in mid-2027. Caltrain and the bill’s sponsors have also highlighted the required financial-efficiency reviews and local spending plans that must be completed before funds are distributed, which is why some local leaders argue that keeping the district “enabled” simply preserves options while the details are negotiated.

For now, Mahan’s vote keeps the regional funding option alive while he says he focuses on reforming how transit is run in the South Bay. The coming months, from tense spending-plan talks to public outreach, will determine whether that procedural “enable” vote turns into a full endorsement or remains a placeholder until voters deliver the final word in 2026.