Sunday, March 1, 2026, is starting on the gray side in Memphis, with clouds hanging over the city, temperatures in the upper 50s, and light winds at Memphis International Airport. The clouds should break as the morning goes on, letting in some sunshine and nudging highs into the low 70s, with a top temperature near 73°F expected this afternoon. A light layer will feel good early, but it will be a warm late afternoon before any rain chances start to climb.
Afternoon Into Tonight
This afternoon looks partly sunny with a high around 73°F and just a slight chance of a spotty shower after about 5 p.m. Tonight, from Sunday evening, March 1, into early Monday morning, March 2, skies turn mostly cloudy with a low near 56°F and showers becoming more likely overnight as east winds pick up to 5–10 mph. The chance of precipitation is around 20% during the day and about 40% tonight, according to NWS Memphis.
What This Means
Most outdoor plans and afternoon events should stay dry, so yard work, kids’ games, and patio time are still in play. That said, it is smart to keep an umbrella handy for the Sunday evening commute on March 1 in case a brief shower pops up. Roads could turn a bit slick where any heavier pockets of rain pass through, and evening temperatures will hold in the mild upper 50s. If you are heading out after dark, give yourself a little extra time, since scattered wet spots could slow traffic and keep road crews on their toes.
Week Ahead
The unsettled pattern rolls right into next week. Monday, March 2, is expected to top out around 71°F with lingering chances for showers. By Tuesday, March 3, temperatures could jump into the upper 70s near 78°F, with south winds of 10–15 mph and gusts up to 25 mph adding a bit of a breeze. Shower and thunderstorm chances go up by Wednesday, March 4, into Thursday, March 5, and the NWS notes a medium, roughly 50–60%, chance of heavier, soaking rain later next week and into the weekend, mainly along and north of I-40. If you have outdoor plans later in the week, keep an eye on updates and consider shifting events indoors if heavy rain ends up in the forecast.
