This morning in Nashville (Tuesday, March 31, 2026) it is clear and about 63°F, and the metro is sliding into a warm, blustery stretch. Highs are expected to reach about 83°F this afternoon, feeling more like early summer than the last day of March. Humidity will be noticeable and south winds will ramp up through the day.
Afternoon Winds Pick Up
Expect a high near 83°F Tuesday, March 31, 2026, with south-southwest winds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts up to 25 mph, especially during the midday and afternoon commute. Gusty conditions could rattle lightweight outdoor gear and flags, so secure patio furniture and tents if you have plans this afternoon. Hourly guidance shows temperatures climbing into the low 80s by midafternoon.
Storm Chances Increase Later This Week
A slight chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop overnight into Wednesday, with coverage increasing through Wednesday, April 1, 2026, and Thursday, April 2, 2026. The broadest wave of shower and thunderstorm activity now looks most likely late Saturday into Sunday, April 4 6, 2026, though there will be plenty of dry breaks. For now, storms are expected to be scattered rather than a continuous washout.
Rainfall Totals and Risk
Forecast guidance places total rainfall from Wednesday through Sunday in the neighborhood of 1 to 2 inches. That may help dry spots without producing widespread flooding. The risk of severe storms is judged to be very low, though localized downpours could still produce brief heavy rain. Forecasters also note that Thursday, April 2, 2026, may be the warmest day of the stretch, with highs near 87°F, matching the BNA record for April 2 set in 2012, according to the National Weather Service Nashville.
Plan Ahead For Outdoor Events
If you have outdoor events this week, keep an eye on the forecast and tie down loose items; gusts Tuesday and again on Thursday could upset umbrellas and pop-up canopies. For weekend plans, keep things flexible: localized downpours are possible Saturday night into Sunday and could lead to temporary slick roads and brief visibility hits on area highways. See rush hour rumblers and soaking rains for more on timing and travel impacts.
