Memphis woke up under clear skies and comfortable spring air, with temperatures near 64°F at Memphis International Airport and dewpoints around 61°F. The warmup is on tap in a hurry. Expect a quick climb into the mid 80s this afternoon, with a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies. Light southeast breezes will keep it feeling a bit humid, but most spots should stay dry through this evening.
Afternoon And Tonight
Through the afternoon, highs should top out near 85°F with filtered sunshine and a few clouds drifting by. Southeasterly winds stay on the tame side, generally around 0 to 5 mph. Tonight, look for a mild and muggy feel under partly cloudy skies, with a low near 68°F as south-southeast winds pick up slightly to about 5 to 10 mph. Any shower that tries to pop up this evening has a low chance of success, so outdoor plans should be in good shape.
Severe Storm Risk Monday–Tuesday
The quiet stretch does not last long. Forecasters say the pattern turns active early next week, with the strongest threat arriving Monday afternoon into Monday night, then again on Tuesday. According to the National Weather Service Memphis, Monday highs may reach the upper 80s and south winds could gust as high as 30 mph as storms fire up. Some storms may organize and pack large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. As Monday gets closer, it will be smart to pay close attention to watches and warnings.
How To Prepare
This is the time to take care of the basics. Tie down or move any loose patio furniture and lightweight items, and plan for a little extra travel time Monday and Tuesday in case storms slow traffic. The City of Memphis Office of Emergency Management advises keeping your phone charged, putting together a small emergency kit, and having more than one way to receive weather alerts. If you live in a mobile home or a low spot that floods easily, pick out a sturdier, safer shelter nearby before storms roll in.
Rain And Flooding Risk
On top of the severe risk, the storm parade could drop a healthy soaking in parts of the metro. Monday night alone may deliver roughly three quarters to one inch of rain in some neighborhoods. Then Tuesday into Tuesday night could bring another round of downpours, with locally 1 to 2 inches possible where storms stall or track over the same areas. That sets up low-lying streets and poor drainage spots for brief flooding, and the repeat rounds could make Tuesday’s commute a wet mess. Keep an eye on local forecasts through the weekend as the system sharpens and the timing becomes clearer.
