Memphis wakes up under clear skies this morning with temperatures near 66°F, but it will not stay pleasant for long. South winds will help crank afternoon readings into the upper 80s to around 90°F, and as humidity climbs, the air will turn noticeably muggy. Tonight will stay warm and stuffy too, with lows holding near 73°F. If you are planning to be outside, morning or late evening will be your best bet, since midday looks to be the hottest stretch.
Afternoon Heat
Highs are on track to reach about 90°F today and again on Monday, May 18, and Tuesday, May 19, as a steady south wind keeps heat and moisture streaming into the area. Breezes of roughly 5 to 15 mph out of the south will add to the sticky feel, making outdoor chores and job sites uncomfortable. As of this morning, there are no watches or warnings in effect for Shelby County.
Storm Chances Late Monday Into Next Week
An unsettled pattern looks to set up late Monday, May 18, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms between about 7 p.m. and 1 a.m. Monday night, followed by scattered afternoon storms on Tuesday, May 19. More widespread showers and thunderstorms are likely on Wednesday, May 20, and ensemble guidance points to a 50 to 60% chance of at least 1.5 inches of rain across the area through late Friday, May 22. According to the National Weather Service, storms next week could produce periods of heavier rain, although a severe storm outbreak is not expected at this time.
Who Should Be Careful
The combination of afternoon heat and thick humidity makes midday a rough window for outdoor workers, kids, and pets, so frequent water breaks and time in air-conditioned spaces are smart moves. If you do not have access to cooling, local resources such as The Hospitality Hub in downtown Memphis may offer relief and services. Keep an eye on updated forecasts before you drive or head to events, since heavier midweek rain could slow commutes and dampen outdoor plans.
We will update this space if any watches or warnings are issued; otherwise, expect hot, humid afternoons through Tuesday, followed by a more unsettled, stormier stretch in the middle of the week. Check local forecasts before heading out and try to shift outdoor plans away from the midday heat when possible.
