Nashville is waking up to a mostly cloudy, muggy start, with temperatures hovering near 70°F at Nashville International and dewpoints in the upper 60s making the air feel downright sticky. Showers and scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop by late morning and become more widespread through the afternoon, with the heaviest downpours and gusty pockets most likely between about 2 p.m. and 5 p.m. Highs will reach the mid 80s, around 86°F, with south-southeast winds at 0-10 mph. Plan for a wet, slower commute and brief pockets of reduced visibility in heavy rain.
Afternoon Rain and Commute Impacts
Scattered showers should arrive by late morning and storm coverage will increase through the afternoon. According to the National Weather Service Nashville, there is roughly a 70% chance of measurable rain today. Forecast rainfall amounts are generally a few tenths of an inch with pockets up to a quarter inch, and any heavier cells could drop brief, intense downpours that cause quick ponding in low spots. Winds will mostly stay light from the south-southeast, but stronger storms could kick up gusts and knock down a few small branches. If you have outdoor plans this afternoon, move them inside or build in some extra travel time.
Storms Continue Through Monday
Showers and thunderstorms are likely again Monday, with highs in the mid 80s and the best chance for heavier totals, a quarter to a half inch, where storms repeatedly track over the same areas. The organized severe threat is low, although any stronger storm could still bring gusty winds and heavy rain. Forecasters also point to unusually high atmospheric moisture that will favor heavier rainfall rates with storms. This set up follows the earlier weekend outlook and is tied to a stalled boundary over the region. For more background, see Hoodline's Sunday storm rumble.
Heat Builds Later In The Week
After this unsettled stretch, temperatures and humidity climb later in the week, with highs reaching the low 90s by midweek and heat indices pushing through the 90s and near 100 in a few spots. That kind of heat will keep afternoon storms in play even as a ridge rebuilds, so expect hot, humid days with pop up storms during peak heating. Bring water and schedule regular shade or cool down breaks if you plan to be outside. Those sensitive to heat should consider indoor plans during the hottest hours.
Practical Tips
Avoid driving through standing water, since just a few inches can stall a car, and anticipate slowdowns on major routes during heavier downpours. Charge phones, keep basic emergency supplies in your vehicle, and secure patio furniture ahead of any gusty cells. Transit riders should keep an eye on WeGo Public Transit for route updates if storms lead to detours or delays. Check the latest forecasts before heading out and be ready for quick changes in conditions this afternoon and into Monday.
