Washington, D.C. steps out of bed in a sweat this morning, with clear skies, muggy air, and temperatures in the low 70s. Highs climb into the upper 80s later today, and the humidity keeps the afternoon feeling sticky. A few scattered showers and thunderstorms may bubble up after about 2 p.m., but the more organized storm threat holds off until Tuesday.
Afternoon Storms Could Pop Up
Mostly sunny skies this morning give way to a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m., with a high near 88F and light winds out of the west. The National Weather Service puts the probability of precipitation this afternoon around 40 percent, and most storms are expected to be brief, localized cells that drop only small rainfall totals. For the full forecast, see the NWS Baltimore/Washington.
Tuesday Brings Better Shot At Strong Storms
On Tuesday, showers and thunderstorms become more likely, starting as morning rain between about 8 and 11 a.m. and picking up again in the afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. Forecasters point to damaging wind gusts and locally large hail as the main concerns, with new rainfall amounts of roughly one half to three quarters of an inch possible where storms cluster or train over the same areas. The Storm Prediction Center keeps parts of the region in a marginal to slight risk for severe storms, and its outlook will be updated through the day on the Storm Prediction Center site.
Coastal Flooding And Rougher Water
Southerly winds are nudging water levels higher along the Chesapeake, and the forecast discussion notes Annapolis has reached minor flood stage. Other coastal spots could see splashover during high tides. Out on the water, boaters should be ready for gusty southerly winds this afternoon and Small Craft Advisory conditions that are likely on Tuesday. Any thunderstorms could quickly turn things dangerous with abrupt wind shifts and frequent lightning. Shoreline residents should keep an eye on local tide forecasts and National Weather Service statements in case advisories change.
Commute Could Get Sloppy
Spotty downpours this afternoon could slow parts of the evening commute, and Tuesday looks like the bigger headache, with more widespread heavy rain and gusty winds that may affect both the morning and evening drive. If you have outdoor plans Tuesday, consider moving them indoors or at least keep a close watch on forecasts and warnings, secure loose patio furniture, and steer clear of standing water after heavy bursts of rain. Keep a weather app handy or use a NOAA Weather Radio, and follow guidance from the National Weather Service and local officials as conditions evolve.
