Western New York/ Weather & Environment

Buffalo’s Columbus Day Lull To Erupt Into Midweek Storms, Weekend Snow

AI Assisted Icon
Published on October 12, 2026
Buffalo’s Columbus Day Lull To Erupt Into Midweek Storms, Weekend SnowSource: Google Street View

Buffalo is starting Columbus Day under cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 50s, with a mostly dry holiday ahead. The city should climb to around 68 degrees this afternoon, but the quiet stretch will not last. Showers and thunderstorms return late Monday night into Tuesday, when a few storms could be strong.

Clouds Hang On Through The Holiday

Patchy fog may linger early Monday before thinning, while clouds remain the main feature through the afternoon. The National Weather Service in Buffalo expects dry weather for the rest of Monday.

Monday night stays partly cloudy with a low near 62 degrees, but the next weather system begins moving in before sunrise Tuesday. That timing is a slight shift from the broader weekend outlook covered by Hoodline, with the storm risk now becoming the bigger local concern.

Tuesday Brings Warmth, Wind And Storms

Tuesday could be the warmest day of the week, with a high near 75 and mostly sunny breaks between showers.

Forecasters say a few storms may become strong to severe across Western New York, particularly as the front moves through Tuesday. Drivers and anyone with outdoor plans should be ready for a quick downpour, gusty winds and changing conditions during the day.

A Cooler, Wetter Pattern Takes Over

Wednesday brings a 30% chance of rain showers and a high near 67, followed by a partly sunny Thursday near 63. Rain showers become much more likely Thursday night, and Friday is expected to bring rain showers.

The sharpest cooldown arrives Friday night, when temperatures are expected to fall to around 44 degrees and showers are unlikely. Saturday tops out near 48 with a slight chance of rain and snow showers.