Western New York/ Weather & Environment

Soaked in the 716: Buffalo’s Brief Sunday Break Gives Way to Stormy, Chilly Week

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Published on October 11, 2026
Soaked in the 716: Buffalo’s Brief Sunday Break Gives Way to Stormy, Chilly WeekSource: Matthew Henry / Unsplash

Buffalo is waking up Sunday near 58 degrees under overcast skies, but the brief dry window is closing fast. Rain is expected to spread across the city this morning, with a high near 64 degrees and wet conditions lasting through much of the day.

Rain Takes Over Sunday

Rain should overspread the region Sunday, with Sunday-through-Sunday-night rainfall totals of one-half inch to near three-quarters of an inch. Southeast winds will run around 6 mph during the day, while the temperature climbs only a few degrees before settling into a damp evening.

The National Weather Service in Buffalo expects rain to taper from west to east Sunday night into early Monday. Boaters should also note that a Small Craft Advisory remains in effect on parts of Lake Erie through 8 a.m. Sunday.

Monday Offers A Brief Break

Monday looks like the week’s easiest outdoor day, though it will stay mostly cloudy. Buffalo could reach 68 degrees with light west winds and only a minimal chance of rain.

That is a modest upgrade from Sunday’s washout, but it may be short-lived. Hoodline’s earlier Buffalo outlook already flagged the weekend rain, while the latest forecast now fills in a more active stretch beginning late Monday night.

Warm Tuesday Brings Storm Chances

A few showers could develop after 2 a.m. Tuesday, followed by a warmer day with a high near 74 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, and southwest winds could gust as high as 31 mph.

Storm chances continue into Tuesday night before the pattern turns cooler. Wednesday brings a high near 63 degrees and an 80% chance of precipitation.

Cooler And Showery By The Weekend

Rain showers are likely Friday, with a high near 58 degrees. Friday night could drop to around 39 degrees, and Saturday looks notably colder, with a high near 52 and another chance of showers.

In short, Buffalo gets a rainy Sunday, a relatively calm Monday, a warm but stormy Tuesday, and a distinctly cooler finish to the week. Anyone planning outdoor work or weekend events should keep a jacket and a backup plan close by.