Buffalo is opening November with clear skies, a chilly start and a surprisingly mild afternoon ahead. Temperatures near 41 degrees early Sunday should climb to about 67 under mostly sunny skies, giving the city a late-fall bonus before a wetter pattern arrives later this week. At Buffalo Niagara International Airport, observations at 12:54 p.m. showed 68 degrees and mostly cloudy skies. The National Weather Service’s updated Buffalo forecast and airport conditions provide the latest figures.
Sunday Brings A Late-Fall Bonus
Temperatures should reach near 67 degrees during the afternoon, with a south wind of 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable, making Sunday a strong window for errands, walks and outdoor plans. The updated National Weather Service forecast gives the afternoon high and wind details.
Clouds will increase Sunday night, but the evening should remain mostly dry with a low around 50. Monday looks mostly sunny, with an overnight low in the lower 50s. The latest Buffalo point forecast includes the revised outlook.
Warmest Stretch Arrives Midweek
Tuesday should reach about 70 degrees, with mostly cloudy skies and a slight chance of showers before 1 p.m.; Wednesday is forecast to reach near 73 under partly sunny skies. South winds around 5 to 8 mph Tuesday and near 8 mph Wednesday accompany the warm stretch. The updated National Weather Service forecast lists a 20% Tuesday shower chance and the revised Wednesday high.
Buffalo’s 1991–2020 climate normals provide a monthly context for November weather, rather than daily records. Buffalo’s National Weather Service climate normals provide that broader frame.
The updated outlook remains warmer than the Halloween-weekend forecast, which had Sunday closer to 64 degrees, as detailed in Hoodline's earlier Buffalo forecast. The latest Buffalo forecast points to possible showers Tuesday amid warm temperatures. The National Weather Service also increased the chance of widely scattered Tuesday showers in its discussion. The point forecast and forecast discussion reflect the update.
Rain Chances Return Tuesday
Showers are forecast Wednesday night, with a 60% chance of precipitation and a low in the mid-50s. Thursday brings likely showers and a high in the upper 60s, followed by a low around 50 Thursday night and a 60% chance of showers. The updated Buffalo forecast revises the late-week outlook.
The warm spell and the late-week rain have different drivers in the local forecast: a ridge and southerly warm-air flow favor mild weather into midweek, while a moisture-bearing trough and cold front are expected to bring a more unsettled pattern afterward. Rainfall amounts remain uncertain, so the shower chances signal a wet-weather risk rather than a guarantee of steady rain. The Buffalo forecast discussion outlines that shift.
Friday and Saturday remain cooler and showery, with highs near 63 and 58, respectively. No watches, warnings or advisories are posted for Buffalo, though the National Weather Service says the dry stretch through Monday will leave leaf litter and fine fuels unusually dry, so extra care with outdoor flames is still warranted.
