The forecast for Cleveland, Ohio, comes with a dry wrinkle. The region's pocket of drought is steadfast, not willing to concede to the weather patterns that dance teasingly around its perimeter. According to an Area Forecast Discussion by the National Weather Service Cleveland, OH, high pressure will reinforce itself across the Great Lakes today through Wednesday, stubbornly reigning over the region's climate.
Initially, conditions seemed primed for some level of reprieve. Yet, now the forecast "trending drier," and most of the County Warning Area (CWA) "not seeing a single drop of rain tonight and Wednesday." As the remnants of a subtropical low orbit near upstate South Carolina, its energy yields nothing but a cloudy tease for eastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania. There is a slight chance of mere traces of rain for parts of extreme eastern Ohio and western PA, as outlined from Mt. Vernon to just south of Meadville. The region's parched lips will not find satiation in this current pattern, with the National Weather Service predicting a "gradual worsening of the drought conditions."
It's not all dim news, and sun seekers can find solace in mostly sunny skies and warmth across the area. The National Weather Service anticipates temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above average, with "highs reaching into the low to mid-80s on Thursday and Friday." During this time, overnight lows will cool down into the mid to upper 50s. However, without substantial precipitation, the drought's grip will likely tighten until the forthcoming weekend.
Extending into the long-term forecast, the same high pressure and upper-level ridge are expected to dominate the area, perpetuating the absence of precipitation or relief from the drought through Sunday night. The only murmurs of change come from models that nod towards a potential cold front on Monday of next week, which "could present the potential for showers" but remains uncertain, with little agreement on the timing or location of the said front. For aviation interests, VFR is predicted to persist through Saturday, with light and variable winds in the morning becoming more steadily SE at 5-10 knots today, as the NWS Aviation Weather Center reports.
On Lake Erie, calm marine conditions and a welcome repose for boaters and fishermen alike are forecasted to continue. A high-pressure system centered over the northeast US looks to keep winds at a gentle 5 to 10 knots, with waves along the shoreline staying tame, "1 to 2 feet, locally up to 3 feet during the afternoon when the onshore flow will develop." While this high rests over the northeast, no marine headlines are anticipated, as the National Weather Service Marine Forecast details.
