The weather in Cleveland is taking a turn as the National Weather Service Cleveland reports a low pressure system cozying up in the Ohio Valley for the weekend. In a forecast updated early today, the NWS cautioned that residents will face a "soggy near term period," with a cold front drifting east and waves of rain expected to continue through the weekend. According to NWS Cleveland, the probability of precipitation (PoPs) has shot up to 100 percent in certain areas for most morning and afternoon hours.
For outdoor enthusiasts and weekend planners, showers and even potential for thunderstorms are on the forecast for Sunday afternoon, particularly when heating peaks. While thunder chances today are low, "instability values trend higher" for Sunday afternoon, which means there might be a bigger cause for concern regarding gusty winds and hail. Northeast Ohioans might need to keep their eyes peeled on the weather updates, as the total rainfall by the weekend could clock in at an inch and a half in some localized areas. Despite this soaking forecast, overall flooding risks stay low, yet "there will most likely be some ponding and perhaps nuisance flooding through Sunday," the NWS stated.
Temperature-wise, don’t expect much warmth with highs restricted to the 50s and lower 60s. Those downwind from Lake Erie can brace for an even chillier embrace, with the mercury dipping to a low mid-50s. Northeast winds will also add a brisk note, especially along the Lake Erie shoreline, where small craft advisories have been hoisted for the weekend.
Shifting into the workweek, the Ohio Valley's cut-off low is forecasted to hang around until Tuesday, keeping the risk of showers in the picture. And while locals could expect a dry patch or two on Monday morning, more showers and thunderstorms could pop up by Monday afternoon, with "MUCAPE of around 500-1000 J/kg" and "deep layer shear of 40-45 knots," analysts at the NWS noted. Temperatures are anticipated to stay steady, resisting any dramatic climbs or dips. As soon as Wednesday rolls around, another disturbance approaches, bringing another chance for precipitation before giving way to a sunnier end of the week.
Cleveland's dreary weather will be a bit of a hassle for aviators, as shifts between MVFR, IFR, and LIFR conditions could require periodic amendments to flight schedules. NWS Cleveland indicates that most of the area can expect to be "socked in with IFR/LIFR ceilings through 12Z Sunday." If you must travel through the clouds, patience and thorough flight check-ups will be key this weekend.
As for the nautical community, the NWS Marine forecast advises caution before setting sail. The advisory extends from Saturday evening well into Sunday, with winds potentially reaching up to 25 knots and roiling waters up to 4 feet. A brief period of calmer conditions might present itself on Sunday evening, but mariners should prepare for a choppy journey until the low finally loses its grip early next week.
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