Memphis

Memphis Weather: Showers Return Wednesday Night; Warm Weekend Ahead

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Published on February 25, 2026
Memphis Weather: Showers Return Wednesday Night; Warm Weekend AheadSource: Google Street View

Memphis wakes up to partly cloudy skies and mild air this Wednesday, with temperatures starting in the low 50s and a high near 63 on tap for the afternoon. Most of the day should stay dry and pleasant, but a slight chance of showers creeps in by evening, with steadier rain and a few thunderstorms possible overnight into Thursday.

Wednesday Night Into Thursday

Showers are expected to move in late Wednesday evening and linger into Thursday morning, with the best coverage generally along and east of the Mississippi River. Forecasters say total rainfall across the Mid-South will likely be light to moderate, roughly a quarter to a half inch in many spots, with slightly higher amounts in northeast Mississippi and lower totals in northeast Arkansas and the Missouri Bootheel. Plan on wet roads and reduced visibility for the Thursday morning commute. According to the National Weather Service in Memphis, new rainfall amounts may be under a tenth of an inch in some locations but could be higher where the boundary stalls.

Commute And Weekend Outlook

Damp pavement is likely to greet drivers on Thursday morning, but most of Wednesday's daytime plans should dodge the rain. Dry and warmer conditions return Friday with highs climbing into the upper 60s, followed by a jump into the low 70s on Saturday. Sunday brings a small chance of afternoon showers, yet overall confidence is growing for a mostly dry stretch that should hold through at least early next week.

We covered a mid-February warm spell earlier this month, and this forecast is the latest tweak on how that warm-up is unfolding. For more background on the recent temperature swings, see our earlier post on warm afternoons and freezing mornings.