Nashville started the day shivering near the freezing mark, but the city is on track to feel a whole lot friendlier by this afternoon. Temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 50s to around 60°F under mostly sunny skies, giving the day a quietly springlike vibe in the middle of February. East-southeast winds should stay light, around 0–5 mph, so lunchtime errands and walks ought to feel unseasonably mild. Tonight looks mostly clear with a low near 36°F, so keep a light layer handy for those early-morning starts.
Weekend Rain Arrives Saturday Night
Dry skies do not stick around for long. Rain moves back in late Saturday, with the steadiest and most widespread showers expected Saturday night into Sunday, February 14–15, 2026. According to the National Weather Service, rain chances climb to near 100% across Middle Tennessee, and totals of roughly 1–2 inches are on the table. Widespread flooding is not anticipated at this time. Southeast winds will pick up slightly to around 5–10 mph Saturday night into Sunday as the system rolls through.
What To Expect And Travel Tips
The soggiest stretch appears to be late Saturday night into Sunday morning, so early-Sunday commutes and outdoor plans will be the most affected. Plan on extra travel time and slower-going on wet surface streets. Forecasters expect a steady rain rather than a torrential downpour, which keeps the flash-flood threat low but increases the odds of ponding in low-lying or poorly drained spots. If you have Saturday evening plans, it may be worth shifting them a bit earlier or moving things inside to dodge the heaviest showers.
Looking Ahead
High pressure builds in early next week, nudging temperatures back into the mid-60s on Monday, with midweek highs possibly pushing into the 70s. There is even a chance of near-record warmth later in the week. For reminders on what to expect and our earlier coverage of this system, see our previous update on this system. Check local forecasts before heading out, as timing can still shift a bit as the system approaches.
