Clear skies and a cool start greet the Valley of the Sun this Saturday, with morning temperatures in the low 50s expected to climb into the low to mid 70s by afternoon. Wall-to-wall sunshine and light winds mean an easygoing setup for outdoor plans before a stronger Pacific system noses in early next week.
Weekend Outlook
Saturday’s high is forecast near 74°F with south-southeast winds around 0 to 5 mph and essentially no chance of rain. Sunday keeps the streak going, mostly sunny with highs near 79°F as high clouds gradually drift in. Overnight lows will hang in the low 50s, so early-morning walkers will still feel a bit of a chill while afternoons stay comfortably warm.
Stormy Turn Monday Night
Starting Monday evening, February 16, 2026, forecasters expect a coastal trough to pull subtropical moisture into Arizona, bringing a chance of rain showers after 5 p.m. and a better shot at showers Monday night into Tuesday morning. Forecast models and meteorologists line up on the highest chances Monday night, with valley rainfall totals generally staying under a quarter inch and gusty south-southwest winds. Gusts up to roughly 25 to 35 mph are possible in stronger spots, especially over higher terrain, according to the National Weather Service Phoenix.
What To Expect
Plan to secure loose outdoor items and keep a light rain jacket handy for Monday evening and Tuesday activities. Most showers should be brief and fast moving rather than long-lasting downpours. Temperatures will cool next week, with valley highs mainly in the mid to upper 60s and overnight readings dipping into the 40s in some rural desert locations. For background on how this pattern follows a warm spell earlier this month, check recent coverage.
