
Memphis is waking up under clear skies and crisp, comfortable air, with early-morning temperatures sitting in the upper 50s to low 60s. Sunshine will dominate through the day, sending the afternoon high to around 83°F while light west-northwest breezes stay mostly calm. Tonight looks quiet and cool too, with clear skies and lows dipping into the mid-50s.
Afternoon Winds And Fire Risk
As the day wears on, humidity will drop into the 30-percent range or even a bit lower today and again on Thursday. That drier air, paired with occasional northwest wind gusts up to around 20 mph, could lead to spotty fire concerns, especially in dry, grassy areas. With fuels already drier than usual, it is a good idea to hold off on any open burning and stay extra careful with grills, lawn debris, and outdoor fires until humidity recovers.
Weekend Warm-Up
Temperatures jump on Friday, May 15, with an afternoon high near 87°F. From there, the heat keeps building, with highs climbing into the upper 80s over the weekend on Saturday, May 16, and Sunday, May 17. Some locations may flirt with 91°F by Monday, May 18. According to the National Weather Service outlook, humidity will increase late in the weekend, and a chance of showers and thunderstorms returns Monday night into Tuesday, May 19. For details on timing and potential impacts, check the full forecast from NWS Memphis.
What To Expect For Your Plans
Before sunrise, patchy river-valley fog is possible, especially along the Tennessee River, although it should burn off quickly once the sun is up. The abundant sunshine makes today a solid pick for outdoor errands, patio meals, or a run. With the late-week warm-up on the way, it will be smarter to schedule longer or more strenuous outdoor activities for the morning hours. Through Friday, May 15, and continuing into Monday, May 18, stay hydrated and pay attention to how the heat feels where you are if you will be outside for extended periods.
Legal Implications
In Shelby County, open burning is generally prohibited, and permits are further restricted when air quality or fire danger is elevated. As a rule of thumb, assume yard or debris burning is not allowed without county approval, according to the Shelby County Health Department. Violations can bring civil penalties, and any burn permits on the books may be suspended if conditions worsen.
Updates will be posted if any watches or advisories are issued. Before you travel or light any fire, check official channels. For the fastest look at changing weather, follow local public-safety outlets and the NWS Memphis forecast.









