Memphis is waking up warm, muggy, and already feeling like mid-summer, with clear skies and temperatures near 73°F. The day starts off dry, but do not get too comfortable. Showers and thunderstorms are likely to bubble up after noon, pushing highs to around 88°F. Any storm that pops could drop brief, heavy downpours that send water quickly into streets and creekside spots in low-lying neighborhoods.
Afternoon Downpours Possible
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop Tuesday afternoon, with coverage ramping up through the mid to late afternoon hours. The National Weather Service Memphis notes that the atmosphere is unusually moist for mid-July, a setup that can wring out very efficient rainfall rates and spark localized flooding, especially where storms repeatedly move over the same area.
This Evening And The Commute
A round of stronger storms is on the table this evening, particularly between about 7 and 8 p.m., with a 60% chance of rain tonight. Drivers should plan on reduced visibility and standing water on roads, as a few neighborhoods could pick up a quick quarter to half-inch of rain, enough to make the commute slick and slow. If you are headed near creeks or low-lying roads, keep tabs on alerts from Shelby County Emergency Management.
Weekend Outlook
Rain chances should ease later in the week while temperatures climb into the low to mid 90s by the weekend. Heat alerts are not expected right now, with heat indices forecast to stay below 105°F, but it will still feel plenty toasty. If you are planning outdoor time, bring water, take breaks from the sun, and keep an eye on those hit-or-miss afternoon storm chances into Sunday.
