Clouds and muggy air are already sitting over Nashville this Monday morning, with temperatures in the low 70s as of early Monday, July 13. The city is expected to warm into the upper 80s this afternoon, but scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to flare up across the metro by mid- to late afternoon. The heaviest activity is expected late in the day, followed by a sticky overnight low near 70°F.
Afternoon Storms Likely
Showers and thunderstorms should become more common after 1 p.m. on Monday, July 13, with a high near 87°F and northeast winds around 5 to 10 mph. While forecasters are not calling for widespread severe storms, any stronger cell could bring brief heavy downpours and localized street ponding. For updated timing and rain probabilities, see the National Weather Service.
Tonight And Tuesday
Monday night carries a lower, but still noticeable, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before about 10 p.m., with lows around 70°F. Tuesday, July 14, is expected to start off mostly sunny before another round of afternoon storms, with highs pushing into the upper 80s. The area forecast discussion notes medium to high thunderstorm chances through Tuesday, with the greatest risk during the afternoons and evenings, while the severe threat remains very low, per the NWS forecast discussion.
Heat Builds Midweek
Humidity sticks around into midweek as highs climb into the low 90s on Wednesday and Thursday, which will make it feel hotter than the thermometer reading in many neighborhoods. Heat index values could push into the upper 90s to around 100°F by late week, so it is a good idea to plan strenuous outdoor activity for the cooler morning or evening hours. For the latest high temperatures and timing, check the National Weather Service.
Commute And Outdoor Plans
Wet roads and sudden downpours are the main short-term concerns, with spotty delays likely during the late-afternoon commute, so leaving extra time for errands would not hurt. Outdoor events scheduled for Monday afternoon should have a backup plan or shift earlier or later when possible. If you live in low-lying areas or near creeks, be cautious about localized ponding after intense cells roll through.
Keep an eye on local forecasts and radar before heading out. If you have outdoor plans, check updates throughout the day and keep a lightweight rain jacket handy. Updates will follow if conditions change significantly.
