New York City is starting Sunday, August 16, under mostly cloudy skies and temperatures around 72 degrees, with a largely dry morning ahead. The weather turns more unsettled after 2 p.m., when showers can begin moving in ahead of a wetter, stormier night.
Sunday Starts Quietly, Then Turns Wet
The National Weather Service forecasts a high near 80 degrees, though readings may slip toward 77 during the afternoon as clouds and showers build. Southeast winds will strengthen from a few mph early to 10 to 14 mph, with gusts reaching up to 24 mph.
Rain chances rise through the afternoon, reaching about 40% overall, with the best window for a shower later in the day. Sunday night brings the bigger hit: a 90% chance of showers and thunderstorms, with roughly a half-inch to three-quarters of an inch of rain possible and locally higher totals in heavier downpours.
Monday Could Bring A Messy Commute
For New York City, the main concern is nuisance flooding in urban areas and spots with poor drainage, along with a localized flash-flood risk closer to the coast. No land watches, warnings or advisories were listed for the city in the morning forecast, but the rain could still make late-night travel and the Monday, August 17, commute messy.
Monday stays unsettled, with showers and thunderstorms possible and a high near 82 degrees. The forecast calls for improving conditions Monday night, followed by a sunny Tuesday near 83 and another sunny Wednesday near 85.
Another Shower Chance Arrives Late Week
The next round of unsettled weather may arrive late Wednesday night and continue into Thursday, when showers and thunderstorms have roughly a 50% chance. Friday looks mostly sunny with a slight shower chance, while Saturday carries another chance of rain with a high near 80.
Along the harbor, ocean and south-shore bays, southerly gusts may reach 25 to 30 mph Sunday afternoon and evening, with seas building to 5 to 7 feet overnight. The forecast office lists a moderate rip-current risk for New York City ocean beaches Sunday, so swimmers should stay near lifeguards and check beach conditions before heading out.
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