Western New York/ Weather & Environment

Buffalo’s Brief Break Before Big Soak And Weekend Chill

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Published on October 14, 2026
Buffalo’s Brief Break Before Big Soak And Weekend ChillSource: Quintin Soloviev / Wikimedia Commons

Buffalo is starting Wednesday under low clouds and temperatures near 60 degrees, with a mostly gray afternoon ahead. A few showers are possible through about 10 a.m., but the bigger weather change arrives Thursday night. By Friday, rain, thunderstorms and gusty winds will give way to the coldest stretch of the season so far.

Clouds Hold On Before A Brief Thursday Break

Wednesday’s high should reach about 64 degrees, with west winds around 7 to 10 mph and only a 20% chance of rain. Skies stay mostly cloudy tonight as temperatures fall to around 45.

Thursday offers a quieter window, with partly sunny skies, a high near 62 and light northeast winds. That break will be short-lived, with widespread rain expected to arrive Thursday evening.

Rain And Thunderstorms Move In Thursday Night

Rain is expected to begin after about 8 p.m. Thursday, with showers and thunderstorms possible before dawn Friday. The National Weather Service in Buffalo expects roughly a half-inch to an inch of rain through Friday, which should be welcome after a relatively dry stretch.

Friday will stay cloudy and wet, with a high near 60 and west winds increasing to between 7 and 18 mph. Gusts could approach 30 mph, and embedded thunderstorms may bring brief heavier downpours, so outdoor plans and the evening commute could get messy.

Sharp Weekend Cooldown Could Bring Wet Snowflakes

The temperature drop arrives Friday night, when lows fall into the mid-30s and northwest winds reach around 21 mph. Rain showers may continue, and a few wet snowflakes could mix in late Friday night or Saturday morning, especially over higher terrain.

Saturday will struggle to reach 50 degrees, with blustery northwest winds and a small chance of early showers before skies turn mostly sunny. No meaningful snow accumulation is expected, but the cold will be hard to miss after Friday’s unsettled weather.

The forecast then rebounds quickly: Sunday should be sunny with a high near 60, followed by mostly sunny conditions and highs in the mid-60s Monday and Tuesday. The sharper rain timing and colder weekend outlook update Hoodline’s earlier Buffalo forecast, which first flagged the late-week cooldown.