Cleveland/ Weather & Environment

Cleveland Braces for Rainy Friday, Frosty Weekend as Lake Erie Roars

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Published on October 16, 2026
Cleveland Braces for Rainy Friday, Frosty Weekend as Lake Erie RoarsSource: Google Street View

Cleveland is starting Friday under cloudy skies with showers and gusty winds on the way, though the threat for stronger showers or storms is low. Temperatures may reach the upper 60s early, then fall into the upper 50s by afternoon as a cold front moves through.

Rain And Gusts Build Through Friday

Widely scattered, mainly light showers are expected Friday morning, with the threat for stronger showers or storms low, followed by additional rain showers into the afternoon and another round late Friday. Rainfall could total roughly a quarter- to half-inch, with winds generally in the 25-to-30-mph range and gusts up to 40 mph.

By 8 a.m. Friday, the first cold front had cleared Cleveland-Hopkins and Mansfield, with a second trough forecast to cross northeast Ohio late afternoon and evening. That second boundary is expected to bring another round of showers and reinforce the colder air, setting up lake-effect rain overnight into Saturday, particularly downwind of Lake Erie between I-71 and I-77, the forecast discussion says.

Friday night is expected to bring showers and a low around 42, with north winds and gusts, the updated Cleveland forecast says. Lake Erie will also be rough, with a Small Craft Advisory continuing into Saturday for parts of the lake.

The lake advisory has different end times along the shore: waters from Maumee Bay to the Islands are covered through 11 a.m. Saturday, while the Islands-to-Conneaut stretch remains under an advisory until 4 p.m. In that central and eastern stretch, waves are forecast at 6 to 10 feet, occasionally around 13 feet tonight. The National Weather Service warns that conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

Saturday Brings A Chilly Reset

Saturday could begin with a few more rain showers before gradually turning partly sunny. The high should reach only about 53 degrees, while north winds subside through Saturday morning.

Clear skies arrive Saturday night, but temperatures are expected to fall into the low 30s or, in some spots, the upper 20s by Sunday morning. The forecast discussion says widespread frost is expected, with some spots potentially approaching freezing by Sunday morning, so sensitive plants may need protection.

Quieter Weather Returns Sunday

Sunday looks generally quiet, with mostly sunny skies and a high near 61 after the chilly start. Generally quiet weather is expected through much of next week.