Memphis/ Weather & Environment

Fall No-Show: Memphis Roasts in 92-Degree October Sizzler

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Published on October 11, 2026
Fall No-Show: Memphis Roasts in 92-Degree October SizzlerMemphis downtown skyline — Scenic Backdrop for Memphis Weather Coverage
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Memphis is starting Sunday clear, calm and cool before the city quickly heats up to a sunny high near 88 degrees. A brief patch of fog is possible between 7 and 8 a.m., but after that, the forecast is mostly blue skies and summerlike warmth.

Heat Builds Through Wednesday

Sunday night will stay mostly clear with a low around 65, followed by a sunny Columbus Day and a high near 91. Tuesday looks even hotter, reaching about 92 degrees with only a tiny chance of rain.

The stretch could push Memphis into near-record territory for mid-October. According to the National Weather Service Memphis, highs in the low 90s are expected through at least Thursday, roughly 10 to 15 degrees above normal.

How This Heat Compares With October Records

According to National Weather Service Memphis records, the normal high for Oct. 11 is 77°F, and the daily record is 91°F, set in 1879 and 1975. That daily record puts the forecast heat in historical context, but the entry does not show how often Memphis reaches 90°F or higher over the entire month of October.

Storm Chance Arrives Wednesday

Wednesday will remain sunny for much of the day before a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms arrives after 1 p.m. A few showers or storms could linger into Wednesday night, but widespread rain is not currently expected.

Dry conditions and afternoon humidity below 40% are possible Sunday and Monday, especially west of the Mississippi River, as reported by the National Weather Service Memphis. Winds should remain light enough to avoid major fire-weather concerns, though residents should still use care with outdoor flames and avoid burning during the driest part of the day.

Fall Finally Shows Up Friday

Thursday stays warm and sunny with a high near 90, but Friday brings the first real break from the heat. Temperatures should top out around 80 under mostly sunny skies, with northwest winds of 10 to 20 mph.

Friday night could feel downright autumnal, with a low near 53 and north winds of 15 to 20 mph. Saturday is forecast to be sunny, breezy and much cooler, with a high around 68.