Tampa starts Monday with mainly VFR conditions through the morning, but the calm morning is on borrowed time. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop after lunch, with a high near 88 degrees and a heat index that could reach 99. The bigger story is ahead: a wetter pattern takes hold across the Tampa Bay area through midweek.
The first storms could pop up around 1 p.m. Monday, with scattered downpours continuing through the afternoon and evening, according to the National Weather Service. Rain chances rise to about 50% during the day, while overnight temperatures settle near 74 under mostly cloudy skies. No watches or warnings were in effect Monday morning.
Tuesday And Wednesday Turn Much Wetter
Tuesday brings a sharper shift, with showers and thunderstorms possible nearly all day and a 90% chance of rain. The high should reach about 85 before temperatures slide toward 80 during the afternoon, while Tuesday night stays unsettled with a 70% rain chance and a low near 74.
Wednesday is another day of showers and thunderstorms for Tampa, with mostly cloudy skies and a high near 83. The National Weather Service says a slow-moving front will stall over central Florida, allowing deep tropical moisture to linger across the region. Forecast rainfall totals over five days generally range from 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts that could create flooding in some spots.
Rain Chances Ease Somewhat By The Weekend
Showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast Thursday and Friday, when highs stay in the low to mid-80s and rain chances are 70% each. Conditions may ease slightly Saturday and Sunday, but scattered storms will still be possible, with highs near 88 Saturday and 90 Sunday.
For Tampa residents, the practical forecast is simple: plan outdoor activities around the storms, keep lightning safety in mind and expect wet roads during the afternoon commute. The updated outlook is a more pronounced turn toward rain than the steamy start described in Hoodline's Sunday forecast.
