New York City/ Weather & Environment

NYC Basks in Fall Sun Before Columbus Day Washout

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Published on October 07, 2026
NYC Basks in Fall Sun Before Columbus Day WashoutSource: Lesekreis / Wikimedia Commons

New York City is waking to clear skies and a brisk 49 degrees Wednesday morning, but the fall chill is already on the retreat. Sunshine will push temperatures to about 69 by afternoon, with southwest winds around 10 knots (about 11.5 mph) and no rain in the forecast.

Sunshine Holds Through Saturday

Thursday is warmer, topping out near 75 under mostly sunny skies, although a stray sprinkle or light shower cannot be ruled out as a front crosses the region. Friday and Saturday look like the cleanest outdoor windows, with sunny skies and highs around 71 while overnight lows settle in the upper 50s to low 60s.

A frost advisory remains in effect through 9 a.m. Wednesday for parts of the Hudson Valley and interior Connecticut, but New York City is outside the advisory area. Early commuters may still want a jacket before the afternoon warmth arrives.

Rain Arrives Late Sunday

The bigger shift comes Sunday afternoon, when showers become possible after 2 p.m. with a 40% chance of precipitation. Rain chances climb to 80% Sunday night and remain high on Columbus Day, when the city could see periods of rain, mostly cloudy skies and a high near 71, according to the National Weather Service.

The weather service says the late-weekend system could produce heavy rain at times, with minor flooding possible in poor-drainage and low-lying areas. That makes Wednesday through Saturday the better stretch for outdoor plans, while Sunday afternoon through Monday is the time to keep an umbrella and a flexible schedule nearby.

A Wetter Turn Than Earlier Forecasts

The updated outlook is a sharper and wetter turn than Hoodline’s earlier forecast, which described a lighter Sunday shower chance and a drier Columbus Day. For now, the city gets a sunny fall rebound first, followed by a rainy holiday weekend finish.