After overnight fog and mist, Cincinnati is forecast to turn sunnier Thursday, with a high near 66 degrees. Southwest winds should increase from light in the morning to about 3 to 12 mph in the afternoon. The overnight low is expected near 50, with no rain forecast for the city.
A cooler weekend, with lows near the freeze threshold
Showers are possible Friday. Friday is forecast to be partly sunny with a high near 58. Highs are expected near 56 Saturday and 59 Sunday, with overnight lows in the mid-30s. Sunshine is forecast to return early next week, with highs near 62 Monday, 66 Tuesday and 62 on Veterans Day, Wednesday, November 11.
Those weekend lows are above 32 degrees, the temperature used to mark an official freeze, but a mid-30s air-temperature forecast does not rule out localized ground frost. The National Weather Service Wilmington, Ohio, notes that ground-level temperatures can be colder than the official reading taken five feet above the ground; this is a caution about the difference in measurement, not a forecast that frost will occur.
First-freeze dates vary from year to year
The National Weather Service Wilmington’s 1991–2020 fall-freeze climatology lists October 25 as Cincinnati’s normal date for its first official 32-degree reading, and says that reading has occurred by November 5 in nine out of 10 years. The agency’s records also show that the first such reading has ranged from September 28 to November 27. These historical dates put the forecast in seasonal context; they do not establish a trend or change the current forecast, which remains dry locally from Saturday through Veterans Day, with no advisories in effect for the Cincinnati area.
