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Published on August 10, 2024
Kamala Harris Secures 14-Point Lead Over Trump in Miami-Dade According to New PollSource: Wikipedia/Lawrence Jackson, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

In the latest pulse on the political climate of Miami-Dade, a once solidly blue territory that has in recent years tangled with shades of red, Democrat Kamala Harris has reportedly picked up a significant lead against Republican Donald Trump. A poll conducted by EDGE Communications/MDW Communications has placed Harris 14 points in front, as per the Local 10 news release.

Shevrin Jones, Miami-Dade Democratic Party chair expressed his optimism stating, “I’m excited—and it’s also a testament to the work that’s happening in Miami-Dade County,” signaling a Democratic momentum, it seems the electorate might be resonating with the broadly outlined achievements of the Biden-Harris tenure despite a landscape fraught with stringent partisan divides, and in the words of Jones, a weariness of "MAGA extremism." Alex Rizo, Miami-Dade Republican Party chair, however, challenges the veracity of the poll and the forecast it suggests, "I don’t think there is a double-digit lead in Dade County,” and emphasizing the direct experience of constituents under the current administration, as reported by the Local 10 news release.

The background of Miami-Dade's political tides reveals Trump's narrowing loss margins, from a 30-point shortfall to Hillary Clinton in 2016 to a 7-point gap with Biden in 2020, underscoring potential volatility in the area's party loyalty. This seesawing was punctuated in the 2022 governor's race when Republican Ron DeSantis swayed the county red. Echoing this sentiment is voter Ernesto Martin: “I think most people in Miami-Dade are unhappy, and you can see the big support for Donald Trump," according to the Local 10 news release.

Reflecting upon these developments, Harris's lead comes after President Biden's notable exit from the potential election fray, a vacancy perhaps leaving room for Harris's ascendancy as the Democratic primary figure against Trump, as stated in the Miami Herald report. Still, voter Rosario Romano reminds us that polls are merely snapshots, a prelude to the decisive chorus of Election Day. "The polls reflect a lot of what’s happening at the moment,” Romano said, "there’s a lot of enthusiasm for her at the moment but we have to wait until the last moment," as mentioned by the Local 10 news release.