Memphis started Wednesday under a gray, fuzzy blanket, with fog and mist clinging to the city and the airport sensor at KMEM checking in around 50°F and roughly six miles of visibility. The low clouds should lift by mid-morning as drier air slides in, clearing the way for mostly sunny skies and a high near 56°F this afternoon. Showers that slipped through overnight are expected to wind down by midday, but a wetter pattern is queued up for later in the week. A stronger system is on track to arrive late Friday and could wring out several inches of rain across parts of the Mid-South over the weekend.
Afternoon Sunshine, Light Breeze
Through the afternoon, expect mostly sunny skies, a light north-northeast breeze around 5 to 10 mph, and temperatures holding in the mid-50s. Morning fog should thin out during the commute, improving visibility and making the drive a little less nerve-racking. The National Weather Service notes that lingering precipitation will taper by midday, with winds gradually turning easterly by Thursday morning and setting up a slightly warmer, calmer day.
Weekend Rain And Thunder Chances
Late Friday into Saturday, a stronger system will lift north and open the door to a round of showers and thunderstorms Friday night, followed by a likely soaking on Saturday. Local meteorologists, including Action News 5, have been pointing to the same timing and a potentially soggy Valentine’s Day weekend. For now, Saturday and Saturday night appear to be the main window for steadier and heavier rainfall.
What To Watch
According to the National Weather Service's forecast discussion, weekend rainfall totals could reach roughly 1.5 to 2.5 inches in spots, with the highest chances across parts of north Mississippi. That is enough to cause localized ponding and slowdowns on wet roads. Severe storms are not the primary concern; small-stream and urban flooding are the main issues to keep an eye on. Anyone with outdoor plans this weekend should stay updated on the latest forecasts and build in some extra travel time if the rain is coming down.
