Tuesday, February 17, 2026: Nashville woke up cool and a bit hazy, with temperatures near 45°F at Nashville International Airport, but the day is geared to feel a lot more like spring. Afternoon highs are expected to climb into the upper 60s while south winds steadily strengthen, turning it breezy at times. Enjoy the mild spell while it lasts, since the pattern turns more active later in the week.
Afternoon Winds Pick Up
Southerly winds this afternoon should run around 5 to 15 mph, with gusts reaching up to 25 mph, especially from mid to late afternoon. Those stronger gusts can tangle umbrellas and scoot lightweight patio furniture across the deck. If you have outdoor plans, secure loose items and be ready for blustery conditions during the evening commute. The wind timing and strength are highlighted in the day's forecast from the National Weather Service.
Late-Week Rain And Thunderstorms
Rain is set to return Wednesday night, February 18, with showers and thunderstorms likely into Thursday, February 19, when some spots could warm into the mid to upper 70s. Forecasters keep the highest rain chances Wednesday night into Thursday night, roughly 50 to 60 percent, along with a low chance for strong thunderstorms with gusty winds Thursday afternoon and evening. An earlier warm-up alert flagged the same surge in temperatures and the increasing late-week storm risk as this system approaches.
How This Affects Your Plans
Make the most of the mild weather on Tuesday and Wednesday, but keep a backup plan for Thursday evening events in case storms and gusty winds move in. Temperatures drop back toward seasonal levels after the front passes, with overnight lows dipping into the 20s early next week. Keep phone alerts on and check updated forecasts before traveling or hosting outdoor gatherings.
