Bay Area/ San Jose

Sunny San Jose Gets Breezy As Fire Danger Ticks Up

AI Assisted Icon
Published on July 16, 2026
Sunny San Jose Gets Breezy As Fire Danger Ticks UpSource: Michael from San Jose, California, USA, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

San Jose wakes up to clear skies and about 60°F at San Jose Mineta (KSJC) this morning. The sunshine sticks around, with the South Bay headed for a warm but not scorching high near 83°F this afternoon as northwest winds gradually kick in.

Afternoon Winds Pick Up

Across the South Bay, northwest winds will generally run 2 to 12 mph, then turn noticeably gusty as the day wears on. Afternoon gusts around 20 mph will make valley gaps and hilltops feel especially breezy.

Out on the water, the NWS Bay Area has Small Craft Advisories up for parts of San Francisco and Monterey Bay, along with a Gale Warning for sections of the Central Coast through this evening, so mariners should expect choppy nearshore conditions.

Morning Clouds, Cooler Coast

Along the immediate coast and around Monterey Bay, there is a modest chance of low clouds and patchy fog early in the day. Any stratus that develops is expected to burn off by late morning, leaving bright and mostly sunny afternoons.

Inland neighborhoods will warm into the low 80s, while spots closer to the shoreline hold noticeably cooler under the influence of the marine air.

Fire Weather Outlook

Interior hills and higher elevations could see afternoon relative humidity drop into the 10 to 20 percent range, which bumps up the risk for new fire starts where grasses and brush are already dry. The NWS Bay Area flags this as an elevated fire-weather afternoon, with conditions expected to gradually improve as the marine layer deepens heading tomorrow.

How This Compares

Today’s setup follows a warmer stretch earlier this week, when many inland spots pushed into the upper 80s to low 90s. For a little context on how this pattern evolved, check out our earlier report on dry lightning and sneaky high tides, per Hoodline.

Plan Ahead

If you have evening plans near the water, plan for gusty onshore winds and rougher seas, and secure small craft along with any loose gear. Inland, anyone working or exercising outdoors should drink plenty of water, skip any open burning, and keep an eye on local NWS Bay Area updates through the evening.