Miami begins Monday with mostly clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s, but calm weather inland does not mean the coast is hazard-free. A Coastal Flood Advisory and high rip-current risk remain in effect along the Atlantic coast through 2 p.m. Monday. The high is expected to reach about 88 degrees.
High tide could bring coastal flooding to some lots, parks and roads, with isolated closures possible. Southwest winds are forecast to increase from about 3 to 8 mph. The advisory describes a current risk; the available background information does not establish what is causing these conditions or how extensive any flooding will be.
Local records offer context, not an explanation
A historical benchmark shows why high-tide flooding is a recurring regional concern, but it does not describe Monday’s conditions. The Miami Herald reported that NOAA’s Virginia Key gauge recorded nine high-tide flood days in 2019, compared with a prediction of one to three days. That annual count at a nearby gauge is not a measure of flooding in Miami Beach today.
NOAA Climate.gov explains that higher sea levels can make high-tide flooding more frequent. This broader context does not establish the cause of Monday’s advisory. Separately, a Southeast Florida Regional Climate Compact supporting-documents list includes an updated Miami Beach stormwater pump system and the city’s Stormwater Management Program. The list does not say when the items were developed, what flooding they address or how they affect this advisory.
Strong rip currents make swimming dangerous along Atlantic beaches. Beachgoers should stay near lifeguards, avoid entering the water alone and never try to swim directly against a rip current.
A dry start gives way to storm chances
Monday is expected to stay mostly sunny and dry, making it the best outdoor window in the forecast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop after 8 a.m. Tuesday, with a 40% chance of rain during the day and a higher chance of storms at night; the high should be about 86 degrees.
Rain chances rise to 70% Wednesday, when showers and thunderstorms are likely. Thursday could be unsettled, with showers and thunderstorms possible during the day and at night; additional storm chances remain Friday and Saturday.
Highs should stay in the upper 80s through the weekend, with muggy overnight lows near 79 degrees. Sunday may bring some sunshine, though showers and thunderstorms still have a 40% chance.
