Memphis/ Weather & Environment

Sunny Skies Over Memphis Monday As Fire Danger Rises, Heat And Storms Loom

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Published on September 28, 2026
Sunny Skies Over Memphis Monday As Fire Danger Rises, Heat And Storms LoomMemphis City Hall Plaza — Weather Coverage Backdrop
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Memphis is starting Monday with clear skies and a cool, dry feel before temperatures climb to around 83 degrees this afternoon. The sunshine is welcome, but the unusually dry air will also raise fire danger across the area through Tuesday.

Sunny Monday Brings Elevated Fire Danger

Monday afternoon is expected to stay sunny and dry, with light winds. Relative humidity could fall near or below 30%, so residents should use extra caution with outdoor burning and follow any local burn restrictions, according to the National Weather Service Memphis office.

Monday night will be clear and noticeably cooler, with temperatures dropping to around 60 degrees. Tuesday continues the dry stretch with sunshine, a high near 86 and a low around 67, while light winds offer little help if fires get started.

Heat Builds Before Rain Chances Return

Temperatures will rise again Wednesday, when mostly sunny skies are expected and the high could reach 90 degrees. Thursday will remain hot near 90, with a slight chance of rain showers later in the day.

The forecast then turns wetter late Thursday and into Friday, with a chance of rain showers Friday and a high near 83. The latest outlook is a substantive update from Sunday's Hoodline forecast, adding more detail about the late-week rain and the warm-up ahead.

Weekend Rain Chances Continue

The outlook gives a 40%–50% chance of rainfall exceeding 0.25 inches over a 12-hour period on Saturday and Sunday.

For now, the best outdoor window is Monday through Wednesday, especially during the cooler morning hours. Anyone planning yard work or outdoor burning should keep the dry conditions in mind, while late-week plans may need a rain backup.