Thursday’s high in El Paso should reach about 85 degrees.
Warm, Mostly Dry Conditions Through Sunday
Thursday night will be mostly clear with a low near 65, followed by another sunny day Friday with a high near 84. Saturday highs are expected to be in the lower to middle 80s. Sunday could reach 89 with south winds occasionally gusting up to 18 mph. Overnight lows are expected to remain in the mid-60s.
Rain Chances Increase Early Next Week
Monday stays mostly sunny with a high near 87, but the pattern turns more unsettled Monday night as heavier rain becomes possible.
Mountain Storms Stay Spotty Thursday
Any Thursday storms are more likely to develop over area mountains, though a stray shower cannot be ruled out in the lowlands. No watches, warnings or advisories are in effect for the El Paso forecast area.
What Rain Chances Mean Locally
The National Weather Service explains that a 40% chance of precipitation means a chance of measurable rain at any given point during the forecast period—not that 40% of the area will get rain or that it will rain for 40% of the time. The agency’s precipitation-probability guidance describes how to interpret the percentage. El Paso Water says a 2006 storm caused city-wide flooding after El Paso received a year’s worth of rain in two days. The utility also notes that stormwater flowing off the Franklin Mountains can move quickly and carry debris downstream, creating a general hazard for downstream communities. That history and drainage context do not establish that flooding or a threat to any particular neighborhood is expected from this forecast. El Paso Water’s stormwater information provides that local context.
This updated outlook is drier through the weekend than Wednesday’s Hoodline forecast, which had highlighted possible weekend showers. The current forecast favors outdoor plans from Thursday through Sunday, while rain chances are higher early next week.
