Memphis/ Weather & Environment

Gusty Blast Smacks Memphis, Sparks Fire Fears Before Summer Roars Back

AI Assisted Icon
Published on October 16, 2026
Gusty Blast Smacks Memphis, Sparks Fire Fears Before Summer Roars BackSource: Google Street View

Memphis is starting Friday under mostly cloudy skies and temperatures around 72 degrees, but a strong cold front is about to flip the script. The city will struggle to reach 66 degrees this afternoon, with northwest winds around 15 mph and gusts near 30 mph. By Friday night, temperatures fall to about 48 degrees.

Brief Shower Chance, Then A Windy Afternoon

The National Weather Service in Memphis puts the rain chance at only 20%, mainly between about 8 and 9 a.m. Skies should turn partly sunny later in the day, but the wind will remain the main story. The quick change follows the hot, summerlike conditions outlined in Hoodline’s earlier forecast.

Wind And Dry Air Raise Fire Concern

Friday afternoon will bring a combination of gusty northwest winds, dry air and relative humidity below 40%, creating elevated wildfire danger across parts of the Mid-South. The concern is greatest along and west of Interstate 55, where dry fuels could allow fires to start and spread quickly. The weather service is urging residents to avoid recreational burning and make sure cigarettes and other smoking materials are completely extinguished.

Weekend Starts Cool, Then Temperatures Rebound

Saturday will stay mostly sunny but cool, with a high near 65 degrees and a low around 43 Saturday night. Sunday will be sunny and milder, reaching about 70 degrees, with no rain in sight. The broader forecast calls for dry weather to continue through the weekend.

Warm-Up Runs Through Next Week

Temperatures begin climbing Monday, when Memphis should reach about 73 degrees under sunny skies. Tuesday rises to 77, followed by highs near 81 Wednesday and 83 Thursday. The National Weather Service expects little to no meaningful rainfall over the next seven days, so the forecast shifts from blustery fall to a quiet stretch of clear, increasingly warm afternoons.