
Memphis started the day on a chilly note, around 41°F at the airport, but sunshine is set to bump afternoon highs into the mid 60s. Light southeast breezes should keep Friday feeling comfortable before a stronger system aims at the Mid-South this weekend.
A developing storm system is expected to spread showers over the area Saturday, then ramp up into a broader shield of showers and thunderstorms Saturday night that could drop 1 to 2 inches of rain across the Mid-South, according to the National Weather Service in Memphis. Forecasters expect weekend totals to generally land in the 1.5 to 2-inch range, though the guidance is split on whether a few spots might top those amounts. Widespread severe weather is not anticipated, but the weather office cautions that heavy rain could trigger localized urban and small-stream flooding in low-lying areas.
When To Watch
Rain chances climb on Saturday, February 14, with the steadiest and heaviest rain likely Saturday night into the morning of Sunday, February 15. If your Valentine’s plans involve patios or parks, you may want to shift them earlier in the day or take them inside. That timing lines up with why forecasters are eyeing this system so closely.
Impacts And Preparation
Expect water to pool on low-lying streets, slick pavement, and slower drives during and after the heaviest downpours. If you are out Saturday night, plan for rain gear and give yourself extra time on the roads. Shelby County Emergency Management offers preparedness tips and local contact details if flooding affects your neighborhood or an event. Keep an eye on updated forecasts and road reports before traveling late Saturday into early Sunday.
What Comes Next
The rain should ease on Sunday, although clouds and a few lingering showers may hang around through the day before a milder pattern settles back in. Temperatures are expected to rebound next week, with highs returning to the 60s and some locations pushing into the 70s by midweek. In short, look for a soggy weekend followed by a quick warm-up once the system moves out.









